Fourth floating regasification plant incoming
It’s one of those mixed-news days for folks who like to invest in — or watch — markets, and for a change, the ugly news is on the other side of the Atlantic Ocean. THE GOOD- Retail investors flocked to Bonyan’s EGX offering, with the retail tranche of the IPO 33.7x oversubscribed at close yesterday, mirroring oversubscription by institutions earlier this week, a source close to the transaction tells us. The company offered 20-21.9% of its shares. The real estate investment firm is expected to make its EGX debut next Tuesday, 22 July, the source said.Bonyan priced its IPO at the lower end of its range — EGP 4.96 per share, suggesting plenty of upside for buyers given the independent financial advisor said a fair value looks more like EGP 7.52. ADVISORS- CI Capital and Arqaam Capital are quarterbacking the transaction, while Mubasher is the offering agent. Matouk Bassiouny & Hennawy are serving as counsel, Baker Tilly did duties as independent financial advisor, and PwC is the auditor of record. THE UGLY- Donald Trump rattled markets and sent the greenback down nearly 1% for a time yesterday as he stepped up his campaign against Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell. US media reported that the US president had earlier this week brandished a letter firing Powell and asked the lawmakers he was meeting with whether he should send it. BACKGROUND- Trump has waged a blunt campaign against Powell for months now, pressuring him to cut interest rates and suggesting he’s open to firing Powell if the chairman doesn’t come to heel. Where things stand now: “We’re not planning on doing anything,” Trump said overnight. “I don’t rule out anything, but I think it’s highly unlikely, unless he has to leave for fraud, and it’s possible there’s fraud.”Wait, fraud? Powell? The guy’s a straight-shooter’s straight-shooter, but that hasn’t stopped Republicans from trying to trump-up (pun intended) charges against him. Trump’s winged monkeys are angling to use an over-budget, USD 2.5 bn project to renovate the Fed’s HQ against Powell. WHY IT MATTERS- The news raised fresh doubts about whether the Fed would, under the next Trump-appointed Fed boss, continue to set monetary policy independent of political interference. It's not a stretch to say the independence of the Fed is one of the cornerstones of the global financial system. An independent Fed can make politically unpopular decisions — to, say, control inflation — without pressure from elected officials seeking short-term gains in popularity. Over the long term, an independent Fed is better able to deliver price stability and drive economic growth — that’s fundamentally what preserves confidence in both US financial markets and the greenback: global investors know that (today, at least) monetary policy is being set for economic reasons, not political ones. Go deeper with the Wall Street Journal here.Can Trump really fire Powell? Maybe. A law on the books since 1913 gives the president the power to fire the Fed chairman, but only for “cause” — and what constitutes “cause” is largely undefined. We’re going to cross the Rubicon one sooner or later: Powell’s term is up in May 2026.Go deeper: The news is all over global front pages this morning, with each of the following outlets running multiple stories and explainers: Associated Press | Reuters | Bloomberg | Financial Times | Wall Street Journal. PSA- The good news / bad news rhythm continues with this morning’s public service announcements: GOOD NEWS- We’re in for a four-day workweek: Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly announced Thursday, 24 July as a holiday for the public sector in observance of the 23 July Revolution. We’ll be on the lookout for similar statements from the Labor Ministry, EGX, and central bank.WEATHER- As has been the case every day this week, it’s another scorching hot day in Cairo, with a high of 39°C and a low of 28°C, according to our favorite weather app.It’s a little cooler in Alexandria, with a high of 33°C and a low of 23°C. BAD NEWS- That’s a wrap on Lamees El Hadidi’s Kelma Akhira. One of the nation’s most influential talking heads will be departing from ON TV — her five-year run with United Media Services ended after both sides agreed not to renew their contract, the company said in a statement.Where to next? El Hadidi gave no indication of where we can catch her next, but we’ll be paying extra attention to her socials in the weeks to come as we wait for an announcement. Of all the nation’s talking heads, Lamees is the smartest (and most sympathetic to the private sector) on anything involving business and the economy. We’re reaching out to ask her what’s next and we’ll report back and soon as we’ve had a chat.WATCH THIS SPACE-#1- Fourth floating regasification plant incoming: US-based energy infrastructure company New Fortress Energy (NFE) has deployed the Energos Winter floating storage and regasification unit (FSRU) following a five-year charter agreement with the Egyptian Natural Gas Holding Company (EGAS), according to a press release. The FRSU will join NFE’s Energos Eskimo in Damietta in August. The more the merrier: Egypt’s two recently-acquired FSRUs began operations sequentially yesterday after their connection to the national grid was previously delayed.ICYMI- The 450 mcf/d Energos Winter will be stationed at Damietta’s United Gas Derivatives Company berth and will bring Egypt’s total FSRU-based capacity to 2.7 bcf/d.As more FSRUs make their way to Egypt, our reliance on diesel and gasoil has been climbing, with imports rising 65% yo-y to 370k bbl/d in the first half of July, Bloomberg reports citing data from analytics firm Vortexa. The current inflows have surpassed all previous monthly records dating back to 2016, underlining the country’s mounting energy pressures amid declining domestic gas output and limited LNG infrastructure.ICYMI- The spike follows disruptions in regional natural gas supplies, notably the halt of pipeline deliveries from Israel, forcing us to rely more heavily on fuel oil and diesel to meet electricity needs during peak summer demand.The market effect: The demand jump has pulled supplies from the Middle East and Russia toward the Mediterranean, reducing available volumes for Northwest Europe and intensifying the region’s existing diesel shortage, Vortexa senior market analyst Pamela Munger told Bloomberg. #2- Wadico eyes shale production: The New Valley Mineral Resources and Oil Shale Company (Wadico) and global mining firm BCM Group signed an agreement for the country's first oil shale exploration and production project, according to a statement. No financial details or timeline were disclosed. Wadico aims to introduce oil shale as a viable alternative energy source and support its use in power generation and cement production, the statement adds.There is much potential: Geological studies have shown that the Quseir-Safaga region in Egypt’s Eastern Desert hosts the country’s largest oil shale reserve, with an estimated 9 bn tons of material. The deposits could yield some 4.5-5 bn barrels of crude oil.PLUS- Wadico signed an MoU with Qalaa Holding’s mining arm Ascom and its subsidiary ASCOM Carbonate and Chemical Manufacturing (ACCM) to boost the value of Egypt’s sand kaolin resources. Under the MoU, Wadico will provide licensing and concession areas in Ras Ghareb, while Ascom will oversee geological and mining activities, and ACCM will handle the refining of the material at its Minya facilities. #3- Cement prices fall 25%: Cement prices in Egypt have fallen by some 25% over the past month to around EGP 4k per ton, industry players told Asharq Business. The decline follows an agreement between manufacturers and the government to increase output in response to rising local and export demand. Prices could fall more as currently idle production lines are brought back online, head of the Cairo Chamber of Commerce’s building materials division Ahmed El Zeiny told Asharq. Al Ahly Pharos’ Hany Genena told the news outlet that local prices could fall further to EGP 3.3-3.5k a ton.This follows a government push to restart idle plants: In early July, the government gave cement producers a one-month deadline to resume production, with a nationwide inspection campaign to ensure compliance. Industry players have been facing supply cuts instated by the Egyptian Competition Authority since 2021, which were introduced to help them tackle low prices, dampened demand, and supply gut.#4- Preparing industries for CBAM: The industry and planning ministries are working together to prepare the industrial sector for the EU’s incoming Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism — known by its acronym CBAM. The two sides are looking to launch a new national platform to channel concessional financing and international grants toward decarbonizing the private manufacturing industry, according to a statement. The platform will serve as a tool to coordinate with development partners to fund green industrial transformation projects, improve energy efficiency, and support clean production technologies in line with CBAM requirements.To oversee it all: A joint technical committee will be formed to monitor the implementation of priority projects and ensure integration between government initiatives and international financing platforms.REMEMBER- CBAM, which is set to fully go into effect starting 2026, could have a considerable impact on Egypt’s exports — particularly from the country’s notoriously energy-intensive steel, aluminum, cement, and fertilizer industries. We have a dedicated story on how fertilizer, cement, steel, and aluminum exporters need to prepare for CBAM — check it out here. Get Enterprise daily The roundup of news and trends that move your markets and shape corporate agendas delivered straight to your inbox. Subscribe here ** DID YOU KNOW that we now cover Saudi Arabia and the UAE?** Were you forwarded this email? Tap or click here to get your own copy delivered every weekday before 7am Cairo time — without charge.THE BIG STORY ABROAD- Israel ramped up its bombing campaign in Syria yesterday, attacking the military headquarters in Damascus and hitting near the presidential palace in a major escalation. The attacks killed at least three people and injured more than 30. The strikes came amid an intensification of violence in the southern city of Sweida in Syria between Druze militants, Bedouin groups, and Syrian security forces who were sent to quell the fighting. The Syrian Interior Ministry announced a ceasefire later in the evening, while US Secretary of State Marc Rubio said in an X post that all parties have agreed on steps that will “bring this troubling and horrifying situation to an end tonight.” Syrian government forces were already moving out of Sweida last night. Several Arab countries later welcomed the news and condemned Israel's attacks on Damascus, including Egypt, the UAE, and Qatar. The story is getting a lot of ink: Reuters | Bloomberg | Financial Times | Guardian | Wall Street Journal
Thursday, 17 July 2025